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تحليل موجز

الانهيار الداخلي لـ جماعة «الإخوان المسلمين» في الأردن

في تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر 2015، تصادف الذكرى السبعين لتأسيس جماعة «الإخوان المسلمين» في الأردن. وكانت الحركة قد خططت لإحياء هذه الذكرى من خلال خروج مظاهرة حاشدة في الأول من أيار/مايو، ولكن الحكومة الأردنية رفضت منح ترخيص لهذه المظاهرة. وكما يوحي الاحتشاد المحبط، فإن الفرع الأردني من جماعة «الإخوان» - مثل غالبية

١١ مايو ٢٠١٥

ديفيد شينكر
جافي برنهارد

مقالات وشهادة

في الأردن، المشاكل والسياسات محلية

الأوقات في الأردن عصيبة. أولاً، اضطرت المملكة إلى التعامل مع استيعاب ما يقرب من مليون لاجئ سوري على مدى السنوات الأربع الماضية، مما شكّل عبءاً كبيراً على البنية التحتية والموارد العامة في البلاد. بالإضافة إلى ذلك، اضطرت إلى التعامل مع من ينتقلون بالاتجاه المعاكس، من الأردن إلى سوريا: فمنذ عام

٢٣ أبريل ٢٠١٥

ديفيد شينكر

Articles & Testimony

Crime and Punishment in Jordan

For the time being, King Abdullah will extract revenge on ISIS in Syria and have a freer hand to crack down on ISIS supporters at home.

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David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

The Composting of ISIS: Let it Rot

Even more than the murder of American and Japanese hostages, the Islamic State's horrific immolation of a fellow Muslim will backfire on the group.

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Matthew Levitt

Maps & Graphics

5 Lines of Effort to Degrade and Defeat ISIS (Research Guide Infographic)

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Matthew Levitt
Scott Vickery
Michael Knights
Jeffrey White
Michael Eisenstadt
Andrew J. Tabler
Aaron Y. Zelin
Ehud Yaari
Lori Plotkin Boghardt
David Pollock
David Schenker
Hedieh Mirahmadi
Soner Cagaptay

Articles & Testimony

The Middle East's Next Nuclear Power?

In the face of stiff opposition and ongoing economic and security challenges, Jordan may delay its decision on building nuclear reactors for now, but energy shortages could force its hand in the longer term.

٢٨‏/٠١‏/٢٠١٥

David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

Jordan's Fight Against the Islamic State Remains Complicated

Threatened by ISIS and beholden to Washington, Amman will continue to play a critical role in the coalition, but its involvement comes with a domestic political cost.

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David Schenker

Jordan's King Abdullah Comes to Washington

Friday's meeting offers an opportunity to discuss the kingdom's domestic challenges, the proposed no-fly zone in northern Syria, and the potential ramifications of ramped-up training of Syrian opposition forces on Jordanian territory.

٠٤‏/١٢‏/٢٠١٤

David Schenker

Regional Nuclear Plans in the Aftermath of an Iran Deal

While the purpose of multilateral negotiations with Iran is to reduce proliferation concerns, successful talks may in fact accelerate nuclear plans in the Gulf states and Jordan.

٢١‏/١١‏/٢٠١٤

Simon Henderson
Olli Heinonen

Articles & Testimony

Jordanian Public Keen on Hamas, But Not ISIS or the Muslim Brotherhood

Notwithstanding the violent turbulence on Jordan's borders, a new poll indicates that the kingdom will likely continue muddling through, with little sign of mass uprisings, major reform, or dramatic policy reversals.

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David Pollock

Twenty Years of Israeli-Jordanian Peace: A Brief Assessment

The treaty's trade and security benefits have been considerable, though many Jordanians continue to reject the likely economic windfall that full normalization could bring.

٢٣‏/١٠‏/٢٠١٤

David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

There's a Worrisome Amount of Support in Jordan for the Islamic State

As the palace dispatches bombing sorties and mitigates immediate threats posed by ISIS, the ongoing dynamic in Syria guarantees a growing and potentially destabilizing reservoir of Jordanian popular sympathy for the group.

٢٠‏/١٠‏/٢٠١٤

David Schenker

Tough Dilemma in Southern Syria

Coordinated Israeli, Jordanian, and allied assistance in the south could boost the moderate Syrian rebels there, stave off an extremist takeover, and facilitate the ongoing international campaign against ISIS.

٠٦‏/١٠‏/٢٠١٤

Ehud Yaari

From Gaza to ISIS: A Trip Report Assessing the Arab-Israeli Arena

Conversations with senior officials in Egypt, Jordan, and Israel highlight the complexities of -- and potential links between -- the region's latest crises.

١٢‏/٠٩‏/٢٠١٤

Robert Satloff

Jordan's Energy Decision: Go with Israel

Today's draft agreement will have to withstand domestic and foreign pressure on Amman.

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Simon Henderson
David Schenker

Preventing ISIS Inroads in Jordan

Amman appears committed to difficult economic reforms, but militant Islamists -- and controversial palace initiatives -- continue to challenge the kingdom's stability.

٠٣‏/٠٩‏/٢٠١٤

David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

Countering the ISIS Threat to Jordan

Since last summer the Obama administration has been missing in action as the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham, or ISIS, conquered much of Syria and Iraq. But as the terrorist organization now turns its sights on the pro-Western Kingdom of Jordan, Washington can no longer ignore its territorial gains

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David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

ISIS Poses Threat Beyond Iraq

In addition to addressing the Iraq crisis directly, Washington should take a more robust, strategic approach to Syria while preempting possible threats to Jordan and other states.

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Dennis Ross

Articles & Testimony

Jordan Has a Jihadi Problem Too

The full extent of Salafi jihadist inroads in the kingdom will likely remain unknown until the war in Syria ends, but the current indicators are troubling.

١٣‏/٠٦‏/٢٠١٤

David Schenker

Jordan and the Syria Crisis: Mitigating the 'Known Unknowns'

As extremists continue to move into southern Syria, growing security and humanitarian problems may soon outstrip Jordan's ability to handle spillover from the war.

٣٠‏/٠٥‏/٢٠١٤

Andrew J. Tabler

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