انرژی و اقتصاد

Policy Analysis on انرژی و اقتصاد

A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters

The country has been described as “too big to fail,” but further deterioration is possible amid mounting debt, major inflation, and delayed military divestment.

۵ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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David Schenker

Fikra Forum

Roots of the Rift between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan's PUK

The tensions between Turkey and the PUK are not new, though recent actions by both sides have exacerbated the situation despite shared economic interests.

۲۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Mehmet Alaca

Articles & Testimony

Jordan’s Retreat from China on 5G Could Signal a Growing Distance

Amman will necessarily continue seeking Chinese direct investment for various purposes, but its rejection of Huawei echoes U.S. concerns about Beijing’s involvement in sensitive sectors.

۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

Twenty Years After the War, Iraq Needs U.S. Support

Much like the Iraqi people are doing, the United States should turn the page on history, engaging on ideas that foster prosperity and enable the relationship’s long-term success.

۱۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Bilal Wahab

A meeting of the International Solar Alliance in India - source: ISA

Articles & Testimony

Minilateralism: A Concept That Is Changing the World Order

The UAE, Israel, India, and other countries are showing why smaller-scale collaboration based on shared interests can offer distinct advantages in a multipolar world.

۱۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Nickolay Mladenov

Brief Analysis

Israel May Lose Oil Access in Baghdad-Kurdish Deal

Years of quiet and fairly lucrative oil trading between the Kurds and Israel are now being threatened by messy legal disputes involving Baghdad and Turkey.

۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Simon Henderson
Bilal Wahab
Henry Rome

An Azeri woman with an Azerbaijan flag in the Nogorno-Karaback region of Armenia - source: Reuters

Maps & Graphics

تحلیل کوتاه

تنش‌های ایران با آذربایجان؛ نشانه تحولات گسترده‌تر در جنوب قفقاز

در بحبوحه شعله‌ور شدن منازعه ناگورنو-قره‌باغ، ایران و روسیه به دقت تحولات جنوب قفقاز را زیر نظر دارند؛ از گرمی روابط اسرائیل با باکو تا چرخش احتمالی در کنترل بر کریدورهای حمل‌ونقل منطقه‌ای.

۱۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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آنا بورشچفسکایا
اندرو جی. تابلر

Articles & Testimony

Don’t Throw Good Arab Money After Bad in Syria

The Gulf states have their own reasons for reaching out to Assad, but they need to understand that Washington will not exempt them from most of its multilayered Syria sanctions without substantial change in the regime’s posture.

۷ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Andrew J. Tabler

Photo of an oil facility in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.

Fikra Forum

KRG Oil and the Slipping Dream of Financial Independence

Following the ICC's decision, the KRG has limited options in its fight for financial independence from Baghdad.

۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Nawras Jaff

Brief Analysis

China’s Presence in Tunisia: How Far Has It Come, and Where Is It Headed?

Tunisia’s structural roadblocks, public skepticism, and ongoing domestic crises have combined to limit its relationship with China, leaving Beijing unable to jumpstart its typical large-scale projects and investments.

۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Louis Dugit-Gros
Sabina Henneberg

Articles & Testimony

Are Surprise Oil Production Cuts a Saudi Message to Washington?

One hopes that the U.S. intelligence community picked up all the chatter between oil producers even if energy analysts and the news media did not.

۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Simon Henderson

Fikra Forum

Egyptians Face a Difficult Holy Month This Ramadan as Food Prices Skyrocket

Runaway inflation, currency devaluation, and unprecedented foreign debt could make this holiday the most challenging one in years, especially for low-income households.

۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Mohamed Abdelaziz

Brief Analysis

The Urgent U.S. Role in Restarting Iraq-Turkey Oil Exports

A pipeline arbitration ruling has imperiled a recent Baghdad-Kurdistan breakthrough, but this roadblock can be removed if the United States acts urgently to disrupt spoilers and help constructive players.

۳۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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Michael Knights

Brief Analysis

Israel’s Offshore Gas Attracts Foreign Energy Giants

A joint BP/UAE takeover bid for Israel’s NewMed Energy reflects increasing demand for East Mediterranean gas and confidence that there is more to be found.

۲۹ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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Simon Henderson

Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamanei, gestures while speaking

تحلیل کوتاه

سخنرانی‌های نوروزی خامنه‌ای: احیای حس خوش‌بینی و عادی بودن اوضاع

رهبر ایران به رغم مواجه شدن با اعتراضات بی‌سابقه و چالش‌های عمیق دیگر، سخنان نوروزی خوش‌بینانه‌ای ارائه داد و مدعی شد مهار تورم افسارگسیخته به ‌تنهایی بیشتر مشکلات ایران را حل خواهد کرد.

۲۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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عمر کرمی

Brief Analysis

Planning Beyond a Baghdad-Kurdistan Budget Deal

Iraq’s bloated 2023 budget has created space for the Kurds to get a share of the wealth this year, but preparing for the next leap to permanent solutions is more important.

۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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Michael Knights

تحلیل کوتاه

سقوط ریال ایران لزوما به استیصال دیپلماتیک منجر نمی‌شود

ریال مدام در حال سقوط است، ولی سیاست‌گذاران نباید فرض کنند که این امر تهران را وادار به کاهش مطالبات هسته‌ای خود در مذاکرات خواهد کرد.

۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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هنری رُم

Turkish President Erdogan meets Ukrainian President Zelenskiy in Kyiv - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Unpacking Turkey’s Non-Binary Ukraine War Policy

Erdogan's stance has been pro-Ukrainian but not anti-Russian, enabling him to strike a delicate balance between NATO expectations, Moscow’s economic lifeline, and domestic political pressures.

۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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Soner Cagaptay

Buoys mark the maritime border between Israel and Lebanon in the Mediterranean Sea - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Securing or Insecuring Israel? Assessing the Israel-Lebanon Maritime Agreement

Taking stock of last year’s deal shows that while there were plenty of good reasons for Washington and Jerusalem to accept it, improving Israel’s long-term security was not one of them.

۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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David Schenker

Iranian president Raisi is greeted upon his arrival for a state visit to China in February 2023 - source: Government of Iran

تحلیل کوتاه

نتایج سفر رئیسی به چین بیشتر نمادین است تا واقعی

سفر رئیس‌جمهور ایران به پکن به همراه هیاتی عالیرتبه تاکید دوباره‌ای بود بر محدودیت‌های رابطه ایران و چین و احتمالاً باعث افزایش بی‌میلی تهران به سازش‌ هسته‌ای خواهد شد.

۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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هنری رُم

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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