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Lebanon

Policy Analysis on Lebanon

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Articles & Testimony
How Is the U.S. Targeted Killing of Qassem Soleimani Likely to Affect Hezbollah’s International Activities and Operations?
Revelations from a recent terrorism trial suggest that the group will be patient in avenging his death, but could eventually use the preoperational surveillance it regularly collects to carry out an attack.
Mar 11, 2020
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  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The Shia vs. the ‘Shia Crescent’
Whether by force or politics, Iran desperately needs to reconsolidate power among Shia constituencies throughout the region, but this challenge may prove insurmountable given current public sentiment in Iraq and Lebanon.
Mar 5, 2020
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Has a New Strategy to Survive Lebanon’s Financial Crisis
Unless Washington and its allies respond to the protestors’ legitimate demands for reform, the group will survive through measures such as expanding its smuggling activity, promoting its financial institutions, and selectively scapegoating corrupt politicians.
Mar 2, 2020
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
‘Fighters Without Borders’: Forecasting New Trends in Iran Threat Network Foreign Operations Tradecraft
To hide its fingerprints on future attacks against U.S. interests, the regime is focusing on its regional 'Shia Liberation Army' and potentially seeking to radicalize lone actors.
Feb 27, 2020
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  • Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Arab, Iranian, and Turkish Responses to President Trump’s Impeachment
A survey of how regional media outlets discussed the congressional impeachment process and its potential ramifications on the 2020 presidential election.
Feb 19, 2020
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Economic Crisis Sparks Rare Protests in Regime Territory
Besides highlighting Assad’s financial mismanagement, the recent unrest gives the international community a genuine opportunity to push for transition while bolstering the more prosperous local administration in the northeast.
Jan 31, 2020
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  • Oula A. Alrifai
Video
Brief Analysis
Shia Militias in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon Post-Soleimani
Will the various regional militias once controlled by Qasem Soleimani continue to take sometimes-unwanted direction from Tehran after his death? Read or watch a spirited conversation with three experts.
Jan 30, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
  • Phillip Smyth
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Here’s How the U.S. Can Pressure Lebanon’s New Government to Tackle Corruption
Designating corrupt businessmen and officials under the Global Magnitsky Act would offer a tangible response to the persistent anti-sectarian demands of Lebanese protesters.
Jan 26, 2020
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
The New Iranian General to Watch
The regime has promoted a hardened veteran of the Lebanon front, raising questions about the IRGC’s next steps following Soleimani's death.
Jan 23, 2020
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  • Matthew Levitt
Video
Brief Analysis
The DEA's Targeting of Hezbollah's Global Criminal Support Network
The head of the Counter-Narcoterrorism Operations Center discusses how the group uses drug trafficking and other schemes to fund its activities, and what the DEA is doing to stop it.
Jan 10, 2020
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  • John Fernandez
◆ Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
How Israel Could Become Part of the U.S.-Iran Story
The IRGC didn’t spend decades and billions building up Iran’s regional satellites for them to simply stand aside if the homeland is attacked, which Trump has vowed to do if the situation escalates further.
Jan 10, 2020
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  • Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah’s Moment of Truth
The group has promised bloody retribution for Suleimani’s death, but in reality it will likely stay focused on rebuilding its own diminished stature at home.
Jan 8, 2020
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
Does Soleimani’s Death Matter? Findings from a 2019 Workshop
Last year’s Washington Institute forum on post-Soleimani succession suggested that the IRGC would lose a unique coordinating capability and its most important totem once he left the scene.
Jan 3, 2020
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  • Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The United States Can Offer the People of Lebanon and Iraq Something Tehran Can’t
Congress should offer conditional aid that forces Beirut and Baghdad to respond to their citizens’ grievances, many of which stem from Iranian-sponsored sectarianism, corruption, and violence.
Dec 24, 2019
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  • Dennis Ross
  • Dana Stroul
Brief Analysis
Lebanon’s Latest Moves Show the Effectiveness of Targeted International Pressure
By uniting behind the message that financial aid and punishment will be tied to specific courses of action, the United States, France, and the UN may finally be able to push Beirut into establishing a reform-minded government.
Dec 17, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
What Will It Take to Repair Middle Eastern Economies?
Directly investing in nongovernmental enterprise and giving international approval to private competition can change the dynamic in individual countries, promote liberal economies, and give citizens greater agency.
Dec 8, 2019
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  • Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
What’s Next for Lebanon? Examining the Implications of Current Protests
An expert testifies on the concrete steps Washington can take to ensure that a credible, technocratic government forms in Beirut, and that the Lebanese Armed Forces protect civilians from Hezbollah-led reprisals.
Nov 19, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Hiding in Plain Sight:
Hezbollah's Campaign Against UNIFIL
In summer 2006, the United Nations passed Security Council Resolution 1701 with the goal of ending the war between Israel and Hezbollah and preventing a recurrence. Among its terms was an expansion of the UN Interim Force in Lebanon, a multinational peacekeeping body created in 1978. UN reports over the
Nov 15, 2019
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  • Assaf Orion
Multimedia
Brief Analysis
The Lebanon Protests: Views from Beirut and Policy Implications
Four Lebanese experts assess the country’s fragile political and financial situation, explaining why the demonstrations will not stop with Hariri’s resignation.
Nov 8, 2019
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  • Hanin Ghaddar
  • Makram Rabah
  • Lokman Slim
  • Jean Tawile
Articles & Testimony
The U.S.: Between Being the World’s Policeman and Trusting Regional Partners
Despite long-documented public weariness with Middle East conflicts, Trump’s successor could well recognize the value of reestablishing American credibility in the region.
Oct 28, 2019
◆
  • Dennis Ross

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Rubin Family Arab Politics Program

The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program focuses on social, political, and economic developments in the Arab world, with an emphasis on the Arab countries of the Levant.

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Featured experts

Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt
Matthew Levitt is the Fromer-Wexler Fellow and director of the Reinhard Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence at The Washington Institute.
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar
Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute's Rubin Family Arab Politics Program, where she focuses on Shia politics throughout the Levant.
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