خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Policy Analysis on خلیج و سیاست حوزه انرژی

Risks of Maritime Escalation in the Strait of Hormuz

If the United States does not accompany its military deterrent efforts with strong diplomatic signals, the current cycle of ship seizures and Iranian retaliatory measures could spiral into something resembling the 1980s Tanker War.

۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Farzin Nadimi

تحلیل کوتاه

تقویت دفاع بیولوژیک و هسته‌ای در عربستان سعودی

پادشاهی عربستان در توانایی‌اش برای مقابله با حملات غیرمتعارف یا حوادث دربردارنده انتشار مواد خطرناک نقاط ضعف بزرگی دارد، اما رسیدگی به آن‌ها در حال حاضر می‌تواند هم آمادگی این کشور در داخل و هم توانایی عملیاتی مشترک آن را با نیروهای خارجی تقویت کند.

۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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فارس المعری

A view of the beleaguered FSO Safer oil tanker in the Red Sea, off the coast of Yemen's rebel-held Rass Issa port in the western Hodeidah province, during operations to remove more than a million barrels of oil from the tanker vessel - source: Reuters

Maps & Graphics

Brief Analysis

Salvaging the Safer: The UN’s Plan to Avert Environmental Disaster in Yemen

Washington has done much to advocate and fund the crucial salvage operation, but now it needs to make sure the combatants do not turn the replacement vessel into another political tool.

۲۲ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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Noam Raydan

A view of the 18th hole of a 2022 LIV Golf tournament in Thailand - source: Reuters

Articles & Testimony

Saudi Arabia’s Golf Game Is About a Lot More Than Golf

The headline sports deal holds wider implications for normalization with Israel, nuclear proliferation, and Saudi modernization, among other pressing bilateral issues.

Jun 18, 2023

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Dennis Ross

Brief Analysis

Golf Detente: Saudi Arabia’s LIV to Merge with the PGA

The deal raises questions about Riyadh’s human rights record and media double standards, but its most important outcome may be further diversification of the Saudi economy away from oil dependence.

۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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David Schenker

Articles & Testimony

Will OPEC’s Cuts Stabilize the Oil Market—and Affect Gas Prices at the Pump?

The cartel’s idea of price stability doesn’t match Washington’s, nor will it help international efforts to isolate Russia.

۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۳

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Simon Henderson

Articles & Testimony

Is OPEC About to Play With Oil Prices as the Summer Driving Season Starts?

With Saudi princes publicly warning oil traders and U.S.-Chinese economic factors coming to a head, the markets may be headed for further volatility.

۲۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Simon Henderson

Fikra Forum

Migration from the Horn of Africa to Yemen: Not Just a Passing Phenomenon

Though Yemen struggles with economic, political, and environmental issues of its own, more and more migrants are crossing the country's borders in hopes of a better life.

۲۵ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Muneer Binwaber

Fikra Forum

New Kuwait Poll Shows Little Interest in Protests Despite Deadlock, Split Views of Global Powers

In a new public opinion poll commissioned by The Washington Institute and conducted in March-April by an independent regional firm, Kuwaitis appeared averse to any disruptions at home or around the region, even as tensions grow across Kuwait’s political scene.

۱۸ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Frances McDonough

national Security Advisor Jake Sullivan addresses the Institute's 2023 Soref Symposium

Video

تحلیل کوتاه

خاورمیانه و آمریکا؛ سخنرانی جیک سولیوان مشاور امنیت ملی

سخنان تازه دولت بایدن را درباره سیاست آمریکا در خاورمیانه که در سمپوزیوم سورف انستیتو واشنگتن در سال ۲۰۲۳ بیان شد، به‌صورت ویدیو تماشا کنید یا متن رونوشت آن را بخوانید

۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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جیک سولیوان

◆ 2023 Soref Symposium

Fikra Forum

Another Round of Negotiations with the Houthis: AQAP as Potential Spoiler in Yemen

If talks with the Houthis continue to ignore key Yemeni stakeholders, al-Qaeda is poised to absorb disillusioned tribal groups into its ranks.

۱۶ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Mohamed Mokhtar Qandil

Fikra Forum

New Saudi Opinion Poll Shows 40 Percent Still Back Some Ties with Israel; Three-Fourths Say Rocket Fire Against Israel Will Have Negative Effects

A rare public opinion poll in Saudi Arabia, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in March/April 2023 by a reputable regional firm, reveals an intriguing mix of attitudes—some in line with emerging Saudi government policies; others, not so much.

۱۵ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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David Pollock

UAE President Muhammad bin Zayed - source: Reuters

Fikra Forum

Making Sense of the UAE’s Latest Leadership Appointments

Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed's recent decisions aim to refresh the image of UAE leadership, ushering in the next generations of rulers.

۱۲ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Dr. Clemens Chay

Fikra Forum

Syria’s Normalization and the GCC: Adjusting to A New Modus Vivendi

Though GCC member states may disagree on Syria's normalization, the collective memory of past conflicts and the desire for regional stability will likely override internal divisions.

۱۰ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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Leonardo Jacopo Maria Mazzucco

Fikra Forum

New Bahrain Poll Reveals Support for Russia, Entente with Iran, Split on Israel

A rare public opinion poll in Bahrain, commissioned by the Washington Institute and conducted in March/April by an independent regional firm, shows surprisingly high levels of popular approval for Russia—including its war aims in Ukraine.

۳ مهٔ ۲۰۲۳

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David Pollock

The guided missile submarine USS Florida - source: Department of Defense

تحلیل کوتاه

اعزام زیردریایی مجهز به موشک کروز آمریکا برای تقویت بازدارندگی علیه ایران

آمریکا در میانه تنش‌های فزاینده با تهران و نیروهای نیابتی‌اش، با اعزام علنی یکی از معدود زیردریایی‌های مجهز به موشک هدایت‌شونده خود به منطقه، به ایران پیام می‌دهد.

۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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فرزین ندیمی

Articles & Testimony

Are Surprise Oil Production Cuts a Saudi Message to Washington?

One hopes that the U.S. intelligence community picked up all the chatter between oil producers even if energy analysts and the news media did not.

۳ آوریل ۲۰۲۳

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Simon Henderson

Brief Analysis

UAE President Appoints Son as Crown Prince

A series of rapid announcements has indicated the Emirati leader’s vision for the future of Abu Dhabi and the rest of the UAE.

۳۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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Simon Henderson

Saudi Deputy Prime Minister Prince Abdullah greets Iranian President Khatami in Jeddah in May 1999 - source: Reuters

تحلیل کوتاه

شفاف‌سازی وضعیت موافقت‌نامه‌های پیشین ایران-سعودی

گام‌های برداشته شده برای اجرای واقعی بیانیه جدید عادی‌سازی روابط ریاض و تهران، با توجه به ابهامات پیرامون موافقت‌نامه‌های ۱۹۹۸ و ۲۰۰۱ آن‌ها، نیازمند توجه دقیق است.

۳۰ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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فارس المعری

Brief Analysis

Israel’s Offshore Gas Attracts Foreign Energy Giants

A joint BP/UAE takeover bid for Israel’s NewMed Energy reflects increasing demand for East Mediterranean gas and confidence that there is more to be found.

۲۹ مارس ۲۰۲۳

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Simon Henderson

Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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