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Energy & Economics

Policy Analysis on Energy & Economics

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Brief Analysis
Risks of Maritime Escalation in the Strait of Hormuz
If the United States does not accompany its military deterrent efforts with strong diplomatic signals, the current cycle of ship seizures and Iranian retaliatory measures could spiral into something resembling the 1980s Tanker War.
Jul 21, 2023
◆
  • Farzin Nadimi
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Power Problem (Part 2): Implications of the New Oil-for-Gas Deal with Iran
Baghdad hopes to avoid power cuts, political turmoil, and U.S. sanctions by striking a barter agreement with Tehran, but the deal raises many questions.
Jul 19, 2023
◆
  • Bilal Wahab
  • Dennis Ross
Photo of an oil facility in Iraqi Kurdistan.
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Power Problem (Part 1): Persistent Financial and Technical Challenges
Diversifying Iraq’s energy supplies won’t mean much if its power infrastructure is not rehabilitated, and the skewed cost-revenue ratio at the Ministry of Electricity is unsustainable.
Jul 17, 2023
◆
  • Noam Raydan
Hakan Fidan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Hakan Fidan and the New Turkish Diplomacy in Iraq
As Minister of Foreign Affairs, Hakan Fidan will have to navigate urgent changes and new challenges in crafting Turkish policy towards Iraq.
Jul 13, 2023
◆
  • Firas Elias
A refugee from the Russian invasion of Ukraine holds a Ukrainian passport - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s Growing Ukrainian and Russian Communities
For nationals on both sides of the fight, the Ukraine war has transformed Turkey from a popular summer destination to a longer-term safe haven or permanent home on the Mediterranean.
Jun 28, 2023
◆
  • Sude Akgundogdu
  • Collin Trissel
Articles & Testimony
Global Ambitions and Tunisia’s Crisis Could Spur Algeria to Rethink Its Non-Intervention Policy
By involving Algiers in enhanced multilateral efforts, Washington can nudge it toward more effective strategies abroad while simultaneously improving Tunisia’s political and economic situation.
Jun 27, 2023
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  • Sabina Henneberg
A view of the beleaguered FSO Safer oil tanker in the Red Sea, off the coast of Yemen's rebel-held Rass Issa port in the western Hodeidah province, during operations to remove more than a million barrels of oil from the tanker vessel - source: Reuters
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Salvaging the Safer: The UN’s Plan to Avert Environmental Disaster in Yemen
Washington has done much to advocate and fund the crucial salvage operation, but now it needs to make sure the combatants do not turn the replacement vessel into another political tool.
Jun 22, 2023
◆
  • Noam Raydan
Banque du Liban, BDL commissioner Riyad Salameh, Hezbollah symbol, ATM machine
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Cash Cabal:
How Hezbollah Profits from Lebanon's Financial Crisis
The Lebanese economy requires an urgent overhaul, and the international community must press for deep reforms.
Jun 22, 2023
◆
  • Samara Azzi
  • Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
How the Caesar Act Restricts Normalisation with Syria
The landmark legislation has played a critical role in the evolution of American sanctions, and follow-on congressional restrictions will largely prevent any efforts to bring Assad back into the economic fold.
Jun 17, 2023
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  • Andrew J. Tabler
  • Matthew Zweig
A view of the 18th hole of a 2022 LIV Golf tournament in Thailand - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia’s Golf Game Is About a Lot More Than Golf
The headline sports deal holds wider implications for normalization with Israel, nuclear proliferation, and Saudi modernization, among other pressing bilateral issues.
Jun 18, 2023
◆
  • Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Geopolitics and the Second Negev Summit
After months of delay, U.S. and Israeli government officials reportedly suggested that the second Negev Summit will proceed on June 25.
Jun 13, 2023
◆
  • Nashat Shawamreh
A view of the 18th hole of a 2022 LIV Golf tournament in Thailand - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Golf Detente: Saudi Arabia’s LIV to Merge with the PGA
The deal raises questions about Riyadh’s human rights record and media double standards, but its most important outcome may be further diversification of the Saudi economy away from oil dependence.
Jun 7, 2023
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  • David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Will OPEC’s Cuts Stabilize the Oil Market—and Affect Gas Prices at the Pump?
The cartel’s idea of price stability doesn’t match Washington’s, nor will it help international efforts to isolate Russia.
Jun 5, 2023
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  • Simon Henderson
Muhandis General Company articles of incorpration front page
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Certificate of Incorporation of the Muhandis General Company
A translation of the articles of incorporation for a major IRGC-like firm run by Iraq's "resistance" militias.
Jun 3, 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
◆ Militia Spotlight
A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters
Brief Analysis
Bread in Egypt: Politics, Social Unrest, and State Stability
The global rise in wheat prices since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has renewed questions about Egypt’s bread subsidies and the government’s broader legitimacy.
May 31, 2023
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  • Aaron Rock-Singer
Articles & Testimony
Is OPEC About to Play With Oil Prices as the Summer Driving Season Starts?
With Saudi princes publicly warning oil traders and U.S.-Chinese economic factors coming to a head, the markets may be headed for further volatility.
May 26, 2023
◆
  • Simon Henderson
PMF logo on a Muhandis General Company combine harvester
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: The Muhandis General Company
By establishing this Iraqi version of an Iranian IRGC conglomerate, militias aim to quickly dominate the country's growing economy.
May 17, 2023
◆
  • Michael Knights
  • Crispin Smith
  • Hamdi Malik
◆ Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Ships and a drilling platform in the Aphrodite offshore gas field near Cyprus
Brief Analysis
Increased Drilling Raises Hopes for East Mediterranean Natural Gas Production
Activity in Cyprus and Lebanon could have significant implications for regional energy and diplomacy.
May 10, 2023
◆
  • Simon Henderson
A bread seller in Cairo walks past a sign promoting President Sisi - source: Reuters
Articles & Testimony
Is Egypt Headed Toward Collapse?
The country has been described as “too big to fail,” but further deterioration is possible amid mounting debt, major inflation, and delayed military divestment.
May 5, 2023
◆
  • David Schenker
Bafel Talabani
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Roots of the Rift between Turkey and Iraqi Kurdistan's PUK
The tensions between Turkey and the PUK are not new, though recent actions by both sides have exacerbated the situation despite shared economic interests.
Apr 28, 2023
◆
  • Mehmet Alaca

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Supported by the

Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy

The Washington Institute's Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy embodies the Institute's long-term research focus on the conservative Arab Gulf states -- Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, the UAE, and Oman -- and the key role these countries play collectively as a primary source of the world's oil and natural gas.

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Featured experts

Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson
Patrick Clawson is Morningstar senior fellow and director of research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson
Simon Henderson is the Baker fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, specializing in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.
Henry Rome
Henry Rome
Henry Rome is a Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute for Near East Policy, specializing in Iran sanctions, economic, and nuclear issues.
Michael Singh
Michael Singh
Michael Singh is the Managing Director and Lane-Swig Senior Fellow at The Washington Institute.
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